"Weather or Nuts"

2008
Jul
6

I know most of my meager audience does not care, and I am way overdue in setting up a separate blog for local stuff, but the divergence of opinion among weather forecasters is just fascinating. For the purpose of recording this snapshot of weather forecasting, here are the highs for San Luis Obispo, CA for the next 4 days as of 2AM (local time) Sunday from the usual suspects:
NOAA/NWS: 84 – 84 – 90 – 92
The Weather Channel – 76 – 79 – 81 – 80
(not very) AccuWeather – 78 – 98 – 100 – 102
Weather Underground (not the terrorists) 86 – 86 – 90 – 92
So we have a 10 degree spread on Sunday growing to 19 degrees on Monday and Tuesday, 22 degrees on Wednesday. In other words, everybody’s just guessing.

UPDATE: 12:15PM Sunday… The weather sources can’t even come up with a clear consensus of current conditions: NOAA: 73, Underground: 70, Accu: 65, with a RealFeelTM of 71 (how?), and the Channel: 87… 87? Same temp as Paso Robles, 25 miles away and usually a dozen degrees warmer – after jumping around to other locations and refreshing, it reset to 73 (which makes sense; they usually get their currents from NOAA). Updated forecasts: NOAA: 84 – 85 – 88 – 89, TWC: 75 – 78 – 81 – 82, Accu: 80 – 98 – 100 – 102 (still the outlier on the high side – it’s their story and they’re sticking to it), Under: 85 – 85 – 88 – 92. At this hour, it looks like the Channel will come closest to today’s actual high, if they ever agree on what that is. Economics is not “the dismal science”; meteorology is.

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